Electoral Prediction Armenia
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Published on 6 June 2026
Electoral prediction for Armenia's National Assembly elections, held on 7 June 2026.
✓ Verifiable timestamp (OpenTimestamps)
Forecast sealed before the event
Civil Contract (Pashinyan) first party (~95% probability) with 44–52% of the vote; a sub-50% plurality turned into a seat majority, single-party government with no runoff.
Official result
Nikol Pashinyan's Civil Contract party won with 49.7% of the vote and a governing seat majority (single-party, no runoff), per official certification. Turnout 58.9%.
Direction: HitMagnitude: Hit
Independent verification
This document was timestamped before the event it forecasts — sealed 1 day before the event. The proof does not depend on Oliveira Vantage: anyone can check it without asking us for anything.
SHA-256 fingerprint of the document
2fadfa20 fabe1590 c272ae4c 8f8a1e3b 2a95f607 4f5983cf c6a54ce7 f9c6f699
Status: anchored in the Bitcoin blockchain
Calendars: bob.btc.calendar.opentimestamps.org, finney.calendar.eternitywall.com, alice.btc.calendar.opentimestamps.org
Seal date: 6 June 2026 · event: 7 June 2026
To check it yourself: download the proof, then run ots verify with the OpenTimestamps client, or use our verification tool. If a single byte of the report had changed, the fingerprint would not match.