Predicción Electoral Colombia
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Published on 19 June 2026
Veredicto final, dinámica y trayectoria. Segunda vuelta presidencial de Colombia 21 de junio de 2026.
Cierre del análisis: 19 de junio de 2026
✓ Verifiable timestamp (OpenTimestamps)
Forecast sealed before the event
De la Espriella victory (~87 % probability) · central margin +6 to +7 pts of valid votes
Official result
De la Espriella won: 49.66% vs 48.70% for Cepeda — a 0.96-point margin (63.6% turnout). Cepeda conceded on 24 June after the official count.
Direction: HitMagnitude: Miss
Independent verification
This document was timestamped before the event it forecasts — sealed 2 days before the event. The proof does not depend on Oliveira Vantage: anyone can check it without asking us for anything.
SHA-256 fingerprint of the document
042b786d 89485e7a 339c8628 ef7e4a11 46ecde98 05ebbdc7 94b3e65a 12ccb712
Status: anchored in the Bitcoin blockchain
Calendars: bob.btc.calendar.opentimestamps.org, finney.calendar.eternitywall.com, alice.btc.calendar.opentimestamps.org
Seal date: 19 June 2026 · event: 21 June 2026
To check it yourself: download the proof, then run ots verify with the OpenTimestamps client, or use our verification tool. If a single byte of the report had changed, the fingerprint would not match.